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China's PV installation scale scenario forecast for the 15th Five-Year Plan period

Release Date:2026-02-20Source:Hangzhou Ginpon New Energy Co.,Ltd.

Despite short-term uncertainty, distributed PV remains a key part of China's new energy system with continued policy support. In September 2025, China announced new NDC targets: by 2035, non-fossil energy to exceed 30% of consumption, and wind+solar capacity to reach six times the 2020 level (aiming for 3.6 TW). The 15th Five-Year Plan proposal also calls for promoting carbon peak, developing distributed energy, and building zero-carbon factories and parks.

Industry experts suggest China's distributed PV sector adopt PV-storage integration to explore applications in zero-carbon parks, virtual power plants, and green power direct supply — reducing curtailment risk while driving stable capacity growth. (Wu Mengyao)

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“十五五”期间中国光伏装机规模情景预测

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